Wind Slave
State War Academy
Caldari State
0
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Posted - 2011.11.06 13:49:00 -
[1] - Quote
I see a lot of i***ts that use the expression "carebear tears"... but hey, this game is full of not so bright ppl...
Some (I don't really think so...) miners in 0.0 would make some money out of this.. but 0.0 Alliances are not built around mining, and will probably never be. They might rent the system, but they will definitively not protect it properly therefore most of the carebears that would or will move to 0.0 will move back to high sec and do something else.
Mining Ice in 0.0 or low sec is expensive and risky, most of the miners will not find that interesting
Moving Ice out of 0.0 is pretty hard due to the m3... A jump freighter is not really useful for doing that due to the low capacity.
These all will result in an undeserved market and prices will double or triple or more.
(just look at what effect goons had with their campaign against ice miners in Gallente systems, prices doubled over night)
All of the above will result in much higher prices for T2.
I'm not ice mining, but, I'm producing T2 stuff. I need an POS to do inventions, manufacturing, copying and so in.
If the prices of ice will go up... I will have to pay more to keep my POS running in order to produce the goods (and everyone will).
The math would be (in my opinion) like this:
At best, 1/3 of the miners will move to low sec or 0.0.. that will happen slowly, probably we will reach that in 6 months or so..
So, because of the above we might see a price at around 1500 per isotope.
Then consumtion... a lot of ice is needed in 0.0 and low sec, and it will stay there... probably 1/3 of the total ice is used in 0.0... so.. another 3-400 isk to the price resulting in a price per isotope of around 1800.
Then logistics.. not many people can afford of have the skills for jump freighters.. moving ice will have a significant cost attached to it. Let's say another 30%-40%, also due to the unavailability of so many jump freighters and pilots that can use them. Price: 2520 per isotope.. and this is once the market is rather stable..
Risk: moving ice out of 0.0 or low sec is risky.. some ice might be lost... due to ships destroyed... that can add another 10%.. resulting in something around 2800 isk per isotope.
Now, moving back to T2 prices... they will rise due to several factors:
- More expensive to produce T2 Inventions and then manufacturing (manufacturing lines at stations are not enough and are not efficient) (an increase of about 100% in manufacturing costs, not all costs)
- more expensive to mine T2 materials (an increase in material costs... don;t know, maybe a lot more than 100%... since the main price driver for t2 materials is POS fuel)
- impact in logistics of moving t2 materials out of 0.0... basically capacity will be decreased due to people moving ice out..
and you can fill in the blanks... I'm getting bored of writing this now..
The conclusion, this simple change might impact EVE's economy severely and will impact everyone, not just carebears... also the frustrated guys that always use the expression "carebear tears".. use you're brain for a while and think... |